2
Lord Du Bassin
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength38%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Nantes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 05/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 03/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/07/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/12/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |