7
Lover Man
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.47 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |