9

Marilyn Monroe

4yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Des Pyramides - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 19/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/07C?C0 @ Enghien 10/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 30/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/08C?2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS25/0111 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS2/052C0 @ Vincennes 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 015/06C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01Enghien?0
2026-06-15Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-05-29Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-05-02Vincennes29th8th+1
2026-03-21Vincennes17th5th+2
2026-02-19Vincennes1+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/078/012/0515/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20252nd18/15%90%+0.85
10/08/20252nd15/261%92%+0.31
30/08/20259th16/116%33%+0.18
08/01/20263rd50/10%71%+0.71
25/01/20264th13/266%77%+0.11
21/03/20267th28/10%54%+0.54
02/05/20269th28/10%33%+0.33
29/05/20265th66/10%73%+0.73
15/06/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02