12
Mister Barra
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Pyramides - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength43%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 08/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |