11

Mohawk

4yo Colt · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Des Pyramides - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 15/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/02C?C0 @ Caen 26/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 08/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Enghien 10/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 018/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/05C?C0 @ Vichy 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 01/07C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-06-15Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-05-29Vincennes?10th10th0
2026-05-06Vincennes?7th7th0
2026-02-19Vincennes1+2
2026-01-18Vincennes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0210/0829/051/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
26/03/20252nd15/261%88%+0.27
08/06/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
10/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
18/01/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
06/05/20267th18/15%54%+0.49
29/05/202610th14/126%40%+0.14
15/06/20263rd33/10%75%+0.75
01/07/20263rd20/10%83%+0.83