11

Mohawk
4yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Pyramides - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 1 | +2 | ||
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/03/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |