4
Mourillon
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Pyramides - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 26/01/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 19/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |