9

Street Painter

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 75

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 83 par16/10C7OR 83C8 @ Churchill Downs 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 79 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 79 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 78 par28/12C6OR 78C5 @ Oaklawn Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 78 parC0 @ Oaklawn Park 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f 11920/03C?C6 @ Oaklawn Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 80 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 80 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 74 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 74 par2/05C6OR 74C8 @ Churchill Downs 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 79 · 6f 118 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 79 · 7f 118 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 79 par11/06C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Churchill Downs?5th5th0
2026-05-23Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02Oaklawn Park?6th4th+2
2026-04-12Oaklawn Park?8th6th+2
2026-03-20Oaklawn Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-20Oaklawn Park?6th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1020/022/0511/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
13/11/20256th10/147%29%-0.19
28/12/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
20/02/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
20/03/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
12/04/20268th4/179%36%-0.43
02/05/20266th16/116%55%+0.39
23/05/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
11/06/20265th12/137%33%-0.04