Sunny's Flame
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |