1
Nachor Secret
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Air Born Leader Overnight Stakes · 1f 130y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-07-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA85 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2024-05-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA79 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2023-11-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2023 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 28/10/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 10/11/2023 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 16/05/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/07/2024 | 2nd | 1/9 | 99% | 83% | -0.16 |
| 07/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |