3
Indy Kid
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 42
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |