5
Jackson's Buddy
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 47
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/12/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |