Rebel Sky
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 35
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |