7
Sig Forty Five
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 08/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 10/11/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 17/01/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |