8
Standard Edition
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 48
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |