Hold Your Breath
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 93
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2026-01-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 06/07/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |
| 04/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 18/09/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 19/10/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 4/6 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.33 |