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2

Night Kiss

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 93

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m 122 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 94 par15/07C6OR 94C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 93 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 93 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 6f 122 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 92 par21/08C7OR 92C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 96 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 122 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 98 par16/10C7OR 98C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 97 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 09/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 122 · beat its mark09/11/2025 · OR 98 par9/11C7OR 98C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 98 · 6f 122 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 98 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 12011/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-06-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th5th−1
2025-11-09Churchill Downs?1st2nd−1
2025-10-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2025-10-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2025-09-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/075/099/1111/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20252nd9/276%80%+0.04
06/08/20252nd13/891%80%-0.11
21/08/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
05/09/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
16/10/20251st1/398%100%+0.02
27/10/20251st4/1198%100%+0.02
09/11/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
17/06/20264th11/1094%40%-0.54
11/07/20269th40/10%0%0.00