7
Sassy Princess
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 93
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |