Accredit
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 97
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 18/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |