Another Mystery
10yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 97
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/7
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 16/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |