Canyon Streak
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 94
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |