4
Culoir
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 94
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |