Debt Paid
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 13/02/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/03/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/05/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 07/06/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/02/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |