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Dr. Storm

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 101

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Keeneland 19/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 107 · 1m1f 122 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 107 par19/10C7OR 107C7 @ Churchill Downs 15/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 105 · 1m1f 121 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 105 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 14/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 104 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 104 par14/12C7OR 104C6 @ Oaklawn Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 105 · 1m110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 105 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 05/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 106 · 1m110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 106 par5/02C5OR 106C5 @ Oaklawn Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 107 · 1m110y Slo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 107 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 107 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 107 par28/03C5OR 107C6 @ Oaklawn Park 01/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 103 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 103 parC6 @ Ellis Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 105 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 105 par26/07C6OR 105projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Ellis Park?8th7th+1
2026-05-01Oaklawn Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-03-28Oaklawn Park?3rd1st+2
2026-03-07Oaklawn Park?2nd0th+2
2026-02-05Oaklawn Park?3rd1st+2
2025-12-28Oaklawn Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1028/1228/0326/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20255th15/261%64%+0.03
15/11/20254th50/10%77%+0.77
14/12/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
28/12/20254th4/179%57%-0.22
05/02/20263rd16/116%82%+0.66
07/03/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
28/03/20263rd3/184%75%-0.09
01/05/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
26/07/20268th33/10%13%+0.13