8
Zach
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 83
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength85%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 12/07/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |