8

Pray For Victory
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 53
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 30% | -0.56 |