5
Ta Ta Today Junior
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 13/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |