6
Unbridled Valor
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 52
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 30/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |