4
Up N Up
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 44
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 06/11/2024 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |