13

Donna Strada

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#13

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Slo 11824/05C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Churchill Downs?6th9th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20266th40/10%44%+0.44