9

Maddog

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 07/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Fm 1227/03C6C6 @ Santa Anita 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 85 · 6f110y Fm 122 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 85 par5/04C6OR 85C6 @ Santa Anita 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 90 par31/05C6OR 90projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-31Santa Anita?6th6th0
2026-04-05Santa Anita?7th7th0
2026-03-07Santa Anita?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/035/0431/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20269th12/137%27%-0.10
05/04/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
31/05/20266th25/10%0%0.00