1
Muriel Sax
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Ellis Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 15
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/08/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 28/09/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |