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3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |