IvyArcIvyArc
4

Famous Lollipop

5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Horseshoe Indianapolis Classic Stakes · 1f 180y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 71 · 1f130y Fas 126 · below its mark29/08/2024 · OR 71 par29/08C5OR 71BHA70 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 70 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark03/10/2024 · OR 70 parBHA74 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 74 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 74 par26/1074OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 75 · 1f130y Slo 128 · beat its mark20/05/2025 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark03/06/2025 · OR 75 par3/06C5OR 75BHA75 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 1f180y Fas 128 · below its mark07/08/2025 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 74 · 1f130y 128 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 74 par27/08C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 76 · 1f130y Fas 128 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 76 par2/06C5OR 76projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2025-08-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2025-08-07Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA754th8th−3
2025-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2024-10-26Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA749th13th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0820/0527/082/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/202410th16/116%0%-0.16
03/10/20245th25/10%50%+0.50
26/10/20249th20/10%11%+0.11
20/05/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
03/06/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
07/08/20254th20/10%67%+0.67
27/08/20258th16/116%22%+0.06
02/06/20266th20/10%0%0.00