8
Flyin Cowgirl
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Horseshoe Indianapolis Classic Stakes · 1f 180y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-08-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-07-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |