5
Kelli Girl
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 81
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Horseshoe Indianapolis Classic Stakes · 1f 180y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |