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3

Tachas Secret

6yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 91

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Horseshoe Indianapolis Classic Stakes · 1f 180y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 91 · 1f180y Fas 128 · below its mark03/07/2024 · OR 91 par3/07C5OR 91C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 91 · 1f180y Fas 128 · beat its mark08/08/2024 · OR 91 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 95 · 1f180y Fas 128 · below its mark09/10/2024 · OR 95 par9/10C5OR 95C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 96 · 2f Fas 128 · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 96 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1f180y Fas 128 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 88 par2/07C5OR 88BHA88 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 88 · 1f180y Fas 128 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 82 · 1f180y Slo 128 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 82 par8/10C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 83 · 2f 128 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 92 · 1f180y Fas 128 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 92 par6/07C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-10-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2025-10-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-08-07Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA881st6th−4
2025-07-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2024-10-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0726/108/106/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20244th3/184%63%-0.22
08/08/20241st4/596%100%+0.04
09/10/20242nd11/1094%86%-0.09
26/10/20242nd10/382%89%+0.06
02/07/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
07/08/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
08/10/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
25/10/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
06/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14