IvyArcIvyArc
4

Francillon

2yo Colt · 9-5

Leopardstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt. Dam, winner up to 8.5f (2-y-o 6f winner), sister to smart 5f-6f winner Sacred Bridge (also successful first time up) and closely related to smart winner up to 1¼m Crossed Baton. Very promising second of 6 in Killarney maiden last month, nearest at the finish. Rates a useful prospect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Gd 13313/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Killarney?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22