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8

Matties Point

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Leopardstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 1m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at ability making his first start when fourth of 6 in maiden at Dundalk (10.7f) 25 days ago, albeit without landing a blow. May be one for further down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13412/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength20%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40