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Trovao Dourado

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Leopardstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 1m 1f

#12

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went with little promise first time up when fifth of 7 in maiden at Down Royal (10.6f) 20 days ago. Faces a difficult task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f140y Goo 14417/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Down Royal?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20265th28/10%33%+0.33