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Tokenomics

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 103

Leopardstown · Bahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3) · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner of handicaps at Cork and Dundalk last season and proved he can be competitive at this sort of level when reaching the frame in listed events over C&D this spring. Too free in a slowly-run event since and can bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲5
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 24th of 30 · OR 94 · 1m GF 126 · beat its mark18/06/2025 · OR 94 par18/062OR 94BHA94 @ Curragh 30/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 94 · 1m Goo 129 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 92 · 7f Sft 133 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 92 par27/0992OR 92BHA95 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 95 · 7f Std 140 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 95 parBHA98 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 1m Std 140 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 98 par7/1198OR 98BHA104 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 104 · 1m Std 131 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 104 par1 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 103 · 1m Yie 133 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 103 par15/041OR 1031 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 102 · 1m Gd 135 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 104 · 1m Gd 135 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 104 par28/061OR 104projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Curragh16th6th−0
2026-05-10Leopardstown12nd2nd−0
2026-04-15Leopardstown14th4th−0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA1043rd15th−10
2025-11-07DundalkBHA981st12th−9
2025-10-17DundalkBHA952nd13th−9

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0617/1015/0428/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/202524th25/10%21%+0.21
30/08/20257th12/137%57%+0.20
27/09/20252nd5/174%91%+0.17
17/10/20252nd6/492%83%-0.09
07/11/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
06/03/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29
15/04/20264th9/153%70%+0.17
10/05/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
28/06/20266th5/287%0%-0.87