8
Asakir
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 100
Leopardstown · Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲4
Strength17%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |