9
Endorsement
3yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 107
Leopardstown · Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |