Ethical Diamond
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 118
Leopardstown · Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Meydan | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2025-08-23 | York | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Ayr | 1 | 7th | 8th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |
| 03/02/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/03/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 12/04/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.28 |