Green Impact
4yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 109
Leopardstown · Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | York | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Leopardstown | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |