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6

Brains

10yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 56

Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

49%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Forward-going type. Has won at this course, however, he's been operating below his best since finishing runner-up in this grade (off 1 lb higher) at Roscommon in May.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA61 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 26 · OR 61 · 7f Yie 131 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 61 par16/1061OR 61BHA61 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 61 · 1m Std 131 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 60 · 7f Std 142 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 60 par10/1260OR 60BHA58 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m Std 140 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 56 · 7f Yie 138 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 56 par15/0456OR 56BHA55 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 7f111y Gd 138 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 55 parBHA59 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 142 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 59 par1/0659OR 59BHA59 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 59 · 7f94y Goo 141 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA58 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 140 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 58 par25/0758OR 58projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA587th7th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA595th5th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA596th6th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA552nd2nd0
2026-04-15LeopardstownBHA564th4th0
2026-01-09DundalkBHA5814th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/109/011/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength46%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/202513th12/137%52%+0.15
29/10/20258th12/137%46%+0.09
10/12/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
09/01/202614th7/163%0%-0.63
15/04/20264th9/153%73%+0.20
11/05/20262nd10/382%92%+0.10
01/06/20266th5/174%67%-0.07
30/06/20265th6/168%71%+0.03
25/07/20267th11/142%60%+0.18