16
Cannonball Queen
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 46
Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y
#19
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.5 /10 (raw 12.7)
Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA54 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA58 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | BHA59 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | BHA62 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Gowran Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 02/09/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/09/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/10/2025 | 17th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 15/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |