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19

Desert Of The Sea

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 40

Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y

#15

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort. Remains a maiden (19 starts) following poor run at Bellewstown (1m) latest. Likely strong pace/shorter trip may at least help him settle better. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA45 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m75y Hvy 129 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 45 par20/1045OR 45BHA45 @ Dundalk 05/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 45 parBHA43 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 43 · 7f Std 125 · beat its mark17/12/2025 · OR 43 par17/1243OR 43BHA40 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 40 · 7f Std 122 · beat its mark28/01/2026 · OR 40 parBHA42 @ Dundalk 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 42 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 42 par6/0242OR 42BHA42 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 42 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 42 parBHA42 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 42 · 7f Std 124 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 42 par20/0342OR 42BHA40 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m1f GF 122 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 40 · 7f211y Gd 122 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 40 par2/0740OR 40projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA4015th15th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA407th7th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA427th7th0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA422nd2nd0
2026-02-06DundalkBHA423rd3rd0
2026-01-28DundalkBHA402nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1028/0120/032/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/202510th11/142%31%-0.11
05/12/20258th25/10%46%+0.46
17/12/20254th22/10%77%+0.77
28/01/20262nd18/15%92%+0.87
06/02/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
06/03/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10
20/03/20267th8/158%54%-0.04
18/06/20267th22/10%54%+0.54
02/07/202615th11/142%0%-0.42