11
Jazzit
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 50
Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA50 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | BHA53 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA55 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | BHA58 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | BHA58 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Dundalk | BHA58 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 11/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 65% | +0.39 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |