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10

Micasso

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 52

Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to get off the mark with a career best on reappearance at Bellewstown (22/1) last month. Merely underlined his inconsistency when only beating 2 home in a big-field Dundalk handicap subsequently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Navan 17/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 55 · 5f180y Goo 128 · beat its mark17/05/2025 · OR 55 par17/0555OR 55BHA53 @ Down Royal 30/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 53 · 7f Gd 131 · beat its mark30/05/2025 · OR 53 parBHA51 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 51 · 7f211y Goo 131 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 51 par3/0751OR 51BHA48 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR 48 · 7f Sft 126 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 48 parBHA47 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 47 · 7f15y Hvy 127 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 47 par23/0947OR 47BHA45 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 45 · 1m Yie 123 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 45 parBHA48 @ Dundalk 14/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 48 par14/1048OR 48BHA46 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 46 · 7f211y Gd 128 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 46 parBHA52 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m Std 134 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 52 par12/0752OR 52projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12DundalkBHA5212th12th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA461st1st0
2025-10-14DundalkBHA4812th12th0
2025-09-30CorkBHA452nd2nd0
2025-09-23ListowelBHA476th6th0
2025-09-10CorkBHA485th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0510/0914/1012/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20256th80/10%72%+0.72
30/05/20256th16/116%62%+0.46
03/07/202510th14/126%36%+0.09
10/09/20255th33/10%80%+0.80
23/09/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
30/09/20252nd9/153%92%+0.39
14/10/202512th7/282%15%-0.66
02/07/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
12/07/202612th16/116%15%-0.00