IvyArcIvyArc
5

The Blue Panther

8yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 57

Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has popped up with handicap wins in 2024/2025, and he went close to opening his account for this year (denied a clear run) in a similar event at Gowran last time. Wide draw/3-lb rise isn't ideal, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA54 @ Dundalk 01/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 54 · 1m Std 131 · beat its mark01/11/2024 · OR 54 par1/1154OR 54BHA52 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 52 · 7f15y Hvy 135 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 52 parBHA61 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 61 · 7f205y Sft 131 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 61 par1/1061OR 61BHA61 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 61 · 7f24y Hvy 131 · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 61 parC9 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 60 · 7f180y Sft 142 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 60 par9/04C9OR 60BHA58 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 140 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 58 parBHA55 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 55 · 7f94y Goo 137 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 55 par30/0655OR 55BHA54 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m40y Gd 136 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 54 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 54 par25/0754OR 54projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA542nd2nd0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA549th9th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA554th4th0
2026-05-31ListowelBHA5813th13th0
2026-04-09Gowran Park?15th15th0
2025-10-19LeopardstownBHA615th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1119/1030/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20244th16/116%70%+0.54
23/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
01/10/20254th13/266%79%+0.13
19/10/20255th6/168%56%-0.13
09/04/202615th14/126%7%-0.20
31/05/202613th16/116%14%-0.02
30/06/20264th40/10%79%+0.79
15/07/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
25/07/20262nd12/137%93%+0.56